JD will report 3Q18 results on November 19th before the markets open with a 7am EST conference call. We are positive on JD’s topline growth in 3Q18 and we also expect its margin to be lower than previously expected as the company continues to invest in new business initiatives. As for 4Q18 guidance, we believe it is highly likely to be in line with consensus at RMB 136.0B with no upside surprises. ……
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In the traditional ecommerce world, JD is facing a couple of issues: 1) China ecommerce is reaching its maturity as new user growth has slowed down and heading towards flattish growth on a year to year basis. The newly merged vendor, Pinduoduo, has attracted non-traditional ecommerce users (Figure 1).……
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JD will report 1Q18 results on May 8th before the markets open with a 7:30am EST conference call. For 1Q18, based on our proprietary data, we believe JD’s topline growth at about 31% Y/Y is likely to be in line with consensus expectation as well as our estimates. ……
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JD will report 4Q17 results on Friday, March 2nd before the market opens with a 7:30am EST conference call. Based on our proprietary data and calculations, we believe JD’s net revenue is likely to grow 39.8% Y/Y to reach RMB 111.1B in 4Q17, higher than consensus topline at RMB 108.5B (35.3% Y/Y growth) and tops its top-line guidance of RMB 107B - 110B or 35% - 39% Y/Y growth.……
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Offline presence or new retail is the trend for China e-commerce vendors, and JD along with BABA is in the leading positions. JD has several ongoing initiatives, which include supply chain and logistic services, experience stores, unmanned convenience stores, and pharmaceutical and fresh food stores. ……
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JD will report 3Q17 results on Monday, November 13th before the market opens with a 7:30am EST conference call. Based on our data, JD’s 3Q net revenue is likely to be in line with consensus at RMB83.6B and higher than the mid-point of 3Q17 topline guidance of RMB81.8B – RMB84.2B (36% - 40% Y/Y growth). ……
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JD will report 2Q16 results on Wednesday, August 10th before the market open with a 7:30am EST conference call. We are expecting both 2Q16 revenue and 3Q16 top line guidance to be slightly below consensus expectation. In addition, we believe the company’s margin may be under pressure from the newly acquired Yihaodian, an online company in China formerly owned by Walmart. Both growth and margin issues may last for a while. As such, we downgrade the stock from BUY to HOLD and wait for signs of imp……
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January 1 – February 29, 2016 Operating Data Highlights:Data in this report is extracted from publicly available sources and processed with our proprietary methodology. Please contact us for detailed information.•Direct sales GMV increased Y/Y in 1Q16 – For 1Q16, total GMV reached RMB143.0B, an increase of 62.9% Y/Y and down 0.1% Q/Q (Figure 1). Based on our proprietary data, net revenue is likely to grow 51.5% Y/Y (1.7% Q/Q) to reach RMB55.5B in 1Q16 (Figure 1).……
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JD will report 4Q15 results on Tuesday, March 1st before the market open with a 7:30am EST conference call. We are expecting 4Q revenue results to be better than consensus driven by strong growth in mobile phones, household appliances and digital. For 1Q16, we believe consensus expectation for JD’s revenue seems high. However, we do believe the company is steadily executing its strategy toward high growth and profitability. We maintain our Buy rating and PT of $39.00.……
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JD will report 3Q15 results on Monday, November 16th before the market open with a 7:30am EST conference call. We are expecting in line 3Q revenue results, but the bottom line is likely to be better than consensus due to lower marketing activities. For 4Q, our analysis and data suggest that JD is highly likely to guide revenue above consensus expectation due to strong GMV growth in Nov. due to its 11 days of promotions for “11.11 Singles Day”. As such, we maintain our Buy rating and PT of $39.00……
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We are initiating on JD with a BUY rating due to its foreseeable growth and profitability outlook as well as its upcoming 2Q15 results. The company will report 2Q15 results on Friday, August 7th before the markets open with a 7:30am EST conference call. JD’s 2Q results are highly likely to be better than consensus driven mainly by its June 18th Anniversary Sale promotion as well as ongoing expansion in general merchandise. Longer term-wise, new category expansion in general merchandise can serve……
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•Y/Y growth of direct sales GMV may decelerate in 1Q15 due to late CNY – Our proprietary data showed that JD’s GMV of online direct sales may reach RMB49.0B or 56.8% Y/Y and 1.1% Q/Q growth in 1Q15 (Figure 1). Of that, GMV for electronics and home appliance may grow 58.1% Y/Y to RMB 42.5B, while general merchandise and others grew 49.5% Y/Y to RMB6.4B. The deceleration in the GMV growth we believe was due to a later Chinese New Year in 2015, which negatively led to no Valentine’s Day promotions ……
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October 1, 2014 – January 31, 2015 Operating Data Highlights:Data in this report is extracted from publicly available sources and processed with our proprietary methodology. Please contact us for detailed information.•Y/Y growth of direct sales GMV may accelerate in 4Q14 – Our proprietary data showed that JD’s GMV of online direct sales may grow 82.3% Y/Y in 4Q14 to RMB 50.1B (Figure 1). Of that, GMV for electronics and home appliance may grow 87.9% Y/Y to RMB 44.2B, while general merchandise an……
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July 1 – September 30, 2014 Operating Data Highlights:Data in this report is extracted from publicly available sources and processed with our proprietary methodology. Please contact us for detailed information.•Orders fulfilled unlikely to have upbeat surprise in 3Q14 – Historically, there has been a close correlation between the number of gross orders and the number of fulfilled orders. According to our proprietary data, the Y/Y growth for the number of gross orders in 3Q14 declined to 118% fro……
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